New Hampshire - How Right I Was
Yesterday (again, sort of), New Hampshire voted in the US Primary. And while it appeared Obama would win it in opinion polls, Clinton won. Just as I predicted.
It is a clear showcase that the weather might just have played the important factor in Iowa as I thought. But this is of course not the end for Obama, much can change. And as you can tell from the results, they were rather close. My real question is why the opinion polls were so wrong?
The problem with opinion polls is that they are opinion polls. And believe it or not, they change results. If you were watching the opinion polls, and saw your candidate/party (depended on what country you live in, election systems, etc.) being the underdog, you would most likely go out and make sure that does not happen. So when people (who would vote for Clinton) realise that Obama seems to be getting the New Hampshire primary, they stand up and go out to vote. And since the weather was fine, they could be bothered!
As for the Republican vote, John McCain was a clear winner, and personally, I think he deserves it. While most of the Internet is all about Ron Paul, I just don't think Ron Paul is a serious enough candidate (not that he himself isn't serious, but rather because voters are not going to vote for him). And I would not like to see Giuliani or Romney as the Republican's candidate.
Huckabee or McCain, I don't really care, but I am predicting it will be one of them for the Republicans. But that might just change.
Now we just have to wait for Michigan to see if anything is going to change.